Explanation for Target audience
One of the target
audience of this resource
material would be fellow colleague and friends working in the related field
of Disaster Management, Climate
change at community level to the
national level. It will also try to target some of the key stakeholders
involved and emerging enthusiast/students working in the area of climate
change. Through this resource I am trying to generate at least some inquisitiveness and awareness within the
group mentioned. That may be helpful for them to develop at least general
perspective on climate change and its impact. An issues indeed a very serious
issue to work on.
The Fourth Assessment Report
(AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change (IPCC), has reported
that the impact of human activities on climate and a climate system is
unequivocal. It is no longer a scientific enquiry but the concern now. Considering
the physiographic settings of India and the unique climatological features, the
climate change on India cover almost every aspect of climate change, right from
the causes to the impacts & associated vulnerabilities; the institutional
mechanisms that address climate at national and state level; the adaptation and
mitigation actions taken or envisaged to be taken, within the context of its
current national circumstances, its developmental goals, financial and technical
capacities.
Source and projected impacts
According to the report
published by Stockholm Environment Institute 2009, India possess unique problem
in climate change scenario .On the one hand by virtue of her very large
population, India is a major emitter of greenhouse gases, ranking fourth
globally in overall terms (behind the US, China, and the EU) and contributing
around 5.5 per cent of global emissions (FIIA, 2009).However India’s cumulative
historical emissions remain low relative to most industrialized countries, and
its per capita emissions of 1.7 tCO2 (WRI/CAIT) are very low, even relative to
other major developing economies (the world average is around 5.8 tCO2 per capita)[1].
Per capita
carbon dioxide emissions of
some regions in the world in 2004 are as follows:
A
comparison of India 's
per capita GHG emissions with some other countries
Country
|
Per-Capita Carbon-dioxide
emissions (metric tons) |
|
|
|
20.01
|
EU
|
9.40
|
|
9.87
|
|
3.60
|
|
11.71
|
|
1.02
|
World Average
|
4.25
|
Source- National Action Plan Climate Change
Report, India
The largest bulk of India’s emissions come from the energy
sector. In 1994[2] energy accounted for about
61 per cent of total CO2 e emissions – of which almost half came from
electricity supply, 20 per cent from industrial fuel combustion and around 11
per cent from transport. Road transport accounted for nearly 90 per cent of
transport emissions (the remaining 10 per cent coming from rail, aviation and
shipping). Word Resource Institute estimates suggest that the overall
contribution of the energy sector is rising (around 66 per cent by 2005). Of
the other sectors, agriculture accounted for 28 per cent of total emissions in
1994 (around 22 per cent in 2005), industrial process emissions contributed
around 6-8 per cent, 3 waste disposal accounted for 2 per cent (rising to
nearly 7 per cent in 2005), and land use and land use change accounted for 1
per cent (net carbon storage in 2000)
Impact of climate
change on key sectors agriculture, water resources, energy
Methane is the principal greenhouse gas emitted from
agriculture, primarily from rice cultivation and livestock, with India again
the largest source, though per hectare emissions are only 20–30 percent of the
global average, reflecting such factors as poor soils, low levels of chemical
application, and continued use of low-yielding rice cultivars and traditional
planting regimes[3].
Climate change is impacting the natural ecosystems and is expected
to have substantial adverse effects in India, mainly on agriculture on which 58
per cent of the population still depends for livelihood, water storage in the
Himalayan glaciers which are the source of major rivers and groundwater
recharge, sea-level rise, and threats to a long coastline and habitations.
Climate change will also cause increased frequency of extreme events such as
floods, and droughts. These in turn will impact India’s food security problems
and water security[4].
IMPACTS ON WATER
RESOURCES
River systems of the Brahmaputra, the Ganga, and the Indus, which benefit from melting snow in the lean
season, are likely to be particularly affected by the decrease in snow cover. A decline
in total
run-off for all river basins, except Narmada and Tapti, is projected in India 's
NATCOM I. A decline in run-off by more than
two-thirds is also anticipated for the Sabarmati and Luni basins. Due to
sea level rise, the fresh water sources near
the coastal regions will suffer salt
intrusion
Mitigation Measures
National Environment Policy, 2006 outlines essential elements of
India’s response to Climate Change. These, inter-alia, include adherence to
principle of common but differentiated responsibility and respective
capabilities of different countries, identification of key vulnerabilities of
India to Climate Change, in particular impacts on water resources, forests, coastal
areas, agriculture and health, assessment of the need for adaptation to Climate
Change and encouragement to the Indian Industry to participate in the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM).
The National Action Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC) The National Action
Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC) coordinated by the Ministry of Environment and
Forests is being implemented through the nodal Ministries in specific
sectors/areas. The plan identifies eight core “national missions” viz. National
Solar Mission, National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency, National
Mission on Sustainable Habitat, National Water Mission, National Mission for
Sustaining the Himalayan Ecosystem, National Mission for a “Green India”,
National Mission for Sustainable Agriculture, National Mission on Strategic
Knowledge for Climate Change. Under advice of the Central Government, State Governments
are also preparing State Action Plans on Climate Change that are aimed at
creating institutional capacities and implementing sectoral activities to
address Climate Change. So far, 21 States have prepared document on State
Action Plan on Climate Change (SAPCC).
Twelfth Five-Year Plan and Climate Change the Government has a
domestic mitigation goal of reducing emissions intensity of Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) by 20-25% by 2020 in comparison with 2005 level[5].
[1] Stockholm
Environment Institute, Project Report – 2009, page8-9
[2]
Official data of India’s GHG emissions is available only for
1994 (MoEF, 2004), when aggregate emissions
amounted
to around 1229 MtCO2e. More
recently, the World Resources Institute (http://cait.wri.org/) has
published
unofficial estimates for the years 2000 (1560 MtCO2e)
and 2005 (1860 MtCO2e).
[3] South Asia Greenhouse Footprint World
Bank Report
[4] India, Ministry of Finance, Economic
Survey, 2012-13, pp. 256-572
[5]
Twelfth Five year paper and Government of India Lok-Sabha Report